March 11, 2011
In my update yesterday, I suggested that Egypt could be involved in supporting the Libyan rebellion. I also argued against US intervention. Feedback from Egypt indicates that conditions there preclude Egypt’s involvement. Furthermore, developments on the ground in Libya confirm the urgent need for outside help. Therefore, I am reluctantly obliged to encourage US and international intervention to contain bloodshed in Libya.
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I hope though that the US will not conceive its action in Libya with an ultimate goal of returning to ‘conducting business as usual’ in the ME. Current dynamics in the region imply that it would not be wise to do so. Statements by President Obama, Secretary of Foreign Affairs Clinton, and Secretary of Defense Gates seem to reflect cognizance of this proposition. On the other hand, Libyan’s and other stakeholders in the region are encouraged to carefully calculate their response to American and international overtures to assist them.